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Atrial Fibrillation Risk Scores as Potential Predictors of Significant Coronary Artery Disease in Chronic Coronary Syndrome: A Novel Diagnostic Approach

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Chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are prevalent cardiovascular conditions that share numerous risk factors and pathophysiological mechanisms. While clinical scores such as CHA₂DS₂VA, HAS-BLED, and C₂HEST are traditionally used for AF-related outcomes, their value in predicting angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD) severity remains underexplored. We conducted a prospective, single-center study including 131 patients with suspected stable CAD referred for coronary angiography, stratified according to coronary angio-graphic findings into two groups: significant coronary stenosis (S-CCS) and non-significant coronary stenosis (N-CCS). At admission, AF-related scores (CHA₂DS₂, CHA₂DS₂VA, CHA₂DS₂VA-HSF, CHA₂DS₂VA-RAF, CHA₂DS₂VA-LAF, HAS-BLED, C₂HEST, and HATCH) were calculated. CAD severity was subsequently assessed using the SYNTAX and Gensini scores. Statistical comparisons and Pearson correlation analyses were per-formed to evaluate the association between clinical risk scores and angiographic findings. Patients in the S-CCS group had significantly higher scores in CHA2DS2VA (4.09 ± 1.656 vs. 3.20 ± 1.338, p = 0.002), HAS-BLED (1.98 ± 0.760 vs. 1.36 ± 0.835, p < 0.001), CHA2DS2VA-HSF (6.00 ± 1.854 vs. 5.26 ± 1.712, p = 0.021), and C2HEST (3.49 ± 1.501 vs. 2.55 ± 1.279, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression identified HAS-BLED and C2HEST as independent predictors of significant coronary lesions. A threshold value of HAS-BLED ≥1.5 and C2HEST ≥3.5 demonstrated moderate discriminative ability (AUC = 0.694 and 0.682, respectively), with acceptable sensitivity and specificity. These scores also demonstrated moderate to strong correlations with both Gensini and SYNTAX scores. AF-related clinical scores, especially HAS-BLED and C₂HEST, may serve as practical and accessible tools for early CAD risk stratification in patients with suspected CCS. Their application in clinical practice could complement existing diagnostic algorithms and help prioritize patients for invasive evaluation.
Title: Atrial Fibrillation Risk Scores as Potential Predictors of Significant Coronary Artery Disease in Chronic Coronary Syndrome: A Novel Diagnostic Approach
Description:
Chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are prevalent cardiovascular conditions that share numerous risk factors and pathophysiological mechanisms.
While clinical scores such as CHA₂DS₂VA, HAS-BLED, and C₂HEST are traditionally used for AF-related outcomes, their value in predicting angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD) severity remains underexplored.
We conducted a prospective, single-center study including 131 patients with suspected stable CAD referred for coronary angiography, stratified according to coronary angio-graphic findings into two groups: significant coronary stenosis (S-CCS) and non-significant coronary stenosis (N-CCS).
At admission, AF-related scores (CHA₂DS₂, CHA₂DS₂VA, CHA₂DS₂VA-HSF, CHA₂DS₂VA-RAF, CHA₂DS₂VA-LAF, HAS-BLED, C₂HEST, and HATCH) were calculated.
CAD severity was subsequently assessed using the SYNTAX and Gensini scores.
Statistical comparisons and Pearson correlation analyses were per-formed to evaluate the association between clinical risk scores and angiographic findings.
Patients in the S-CCS group had significantly higher scores in CHA2DS2VA (4.
09 ± 1.
656 vs.
3.
20 ± 1.
338, p = 0.
002), HAS-BLED (1.
98 ± 0.
760 vs.
1.
36 ± 0.
835, p < 0.
001), CHA2DS2VA-HSF (6.
00 ± 1.
854 vs.
5.
26 ± 1.
712, p = 0.
021), and C2HEST (3.
49 ± 1.
501 vs.
2.
55 ± 1.
279, p < 0.
001).
Multivariate logistic regression identified HAS-BLED and C2HEST as independent predictors of significant coronary lesions.
A threshold value of HAS-BLED ≥1.
5 and C2HEST ≥3.
5 demonstrated moderate discriminative ability (AUC = 0.
694 and 0.
682, respectively), with acceptable sensitivity and specificity.
These scores also demonstrated moderate to strong correlations with both Gensini and SYNTAX scores.
AF-related clinical scores, especially HAS-BLED and C₂HEST, may serve as practical and accessible tools for early CAD risk stratification in patients with suspected CCS.
Their application in clinical practice could complement existing diagnostic algorithms and help prioritize patients for invasive evaluation.

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