Waiting Time for Pulmonary Vein Isolation: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study of Atrial Fibrillation Progression and Complications

Background and Objectives: Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an established rhythm control strategy for atrial fibrillation (AF). In many healthcare systems, increasing demand and limited procedural capacity have resulted in prolonged waiting times. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the association between waiting time for PVI and AF progression. Secondary aims were to assess the relationship between waiting time and AF-related complications, healthcare utilization, and clinical factors associated with higher risk of progression. Materials and Methods: We performed a single-center observational cohort study of patients on the waiting list for PVI at Pauls Stradiņš Clinical University Hospital between 2016 and 2023. Results: A total of 341 patients completed structured ambulatory follow-up to assess the complication and progression rates of AF. The mean age was 64.8 ± 10.5 years, 50.9% were male, and the median waiting time was 37.2 months (IQR 15.0–61.3). AF progression occurred in 25.7% (n = 88) of patients, with longer waiting time independently associated with progression (OR, 1.017 per month; 95% CI, 1.006–1.028; p < 0.05). Electrical cardioversion during the waiting period was associated with a lower likelihood of progression (OR, 0.32; p = 0.029), and Class IC antiarrhythmic therapy was associated with reduced risk of AF progression (HR 0.78; p = 0.013). During follow-up, 45.2% of patients were hospitalized for AF paroxysms, 29.6% underwent electrical cardioversion, and 13.5% experienced complications including stroke and heart failure decompensation. Left atrial volume index and left ventricular ejection fraction were inversely correlated (ρ = −0.355, p < 0.05), but neither was associated with waiting time. Conclusions: Longer waiting times for PVI are associated with AF progression and substantial interim healthcare utilization due to complications. Strategies to prioritize higher-risk patients may help prevent disease progression and reduce complication burden.