Keby nebolo Veľkej vojny Politický systém a režim v Uhorsku v prvej polovici 20. storočia

This study is an experiment in counterfactual history, aiming to examine the stability of the political regime in dualist Hungary and its capacity for self-preservation. The article explores the possible evolution of the political system and regime in the Kingdom of Hungary after 1914, over a horizon of about three decades, under the condition that the First World War did not take place. The author reflects on a thesis from part of the historiography, which posits that Austria-Hungary, and specifically the Kingdom of Hungary in the early 1910s, was inherently politically unstable and doomed to territorial disintegration. This thesis attributes instability to the undemocratic nature of the regime, systemic political corruption, polyethnic population composition, activities of competing minority nationalist movements, and widespread social resistance to nationalist assimilationist policies. The article examines the relative disintegrative weight of these factors in an alternative hypothetical reality where World War I and its immediate consequences do not exist as causal factors.