Trees as Sensors: Estimating Wind Intensity Distribution During Hurricane Maria

Hurricane Maria crossed Puerto Rico with winds as high as 250 km/h, resulting in widespread damages and loss of weather station data, thus limiting direct weather measurements of wind variability. Here, we identified more than 155 million trees to estimate the distribution of wind speed over 9000 km2 of land from island-wide LiDAR point clouds collected before and after the hurricane. The point clouds were classified and rasterized into the canopy height model to perform individual tree identification and perform change detection analysis. Individual trees’ stem diameter at breast height were estimated using a function between delineated crown and extracted canopy height, validated using the records from Puerto Rico’s Forest Inventory 2003. The results indicate that approximately 35.7% of trees broke at the stem (below the canopy center) and 28.5% above the canopy center. Furthermore, we back-calculated the critical wind speed, or the minimum speed to cause breakage, at individual tree level this was performed by applying a mechanical model using the estimated diameter at breast height, the extrapolated breakage height, and pre-Hurricane Maria canopy height. Individual trees were then aggregated at 115 km2 cells to summarize the critical wind speed distribution of each cell, based on the percentage of stem breakage. A vertical wind profile analysis was then applied to derive the hurricane wind distribution using the mean hourly wind speed 10 m above the canopy center. The estimated wind speed ranges from 250 km/h in the southeast at the landfall to 100 km/h in the southwest parts of the islands. Comparison of the modeled wind speed with the wind gust readings at the few remaining NOAA stations support the use of tree breakages to model the distribution of hurricane wind speed when ground readings are sparse.