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There are errors in the data used in the analysis of Hicks and
Zorn's “Economic Globalization, the Macro Economy, and
Reversals of Welfare Expansion in Affluent Democracies,
1978–94,” which appeared in the Summer 2005 issue of
International Organization (Vol. 59, 631–62). New,
corrected data are now included in the data appendix for the article
available at 〈http://www.sociology.emory.edu/ahicks/IO.html〉
Accompanying the data appendix is a second appendix of text and tables
that includes an errata report, new analyses, and revised
findings. New analyses do not indicate that pressures from unemployment,
societal aging, and globalization stressed in Hicks and Zorn (2005) drive
retrenchment. Rather they indicate that strong aggregate economic
performance—affluence, economic growth, and low de-industrialization
in particular—and institutional centralization of political power
inhibit retrenchment, while the reverse fosters it. This at least is the
case for the two least restrictive of Hicks and Zorn's three measures
of retrenchment. For outcome measures that do not identify a retrenchment
unless there is, at least, a 6 percent cut in social spending (a threshold
condition of C = −0.06 for the identification of a
“retrenchment” on the underlying spending variable
PCRS), Hicks and Zorn's hypothesized determinants do not
have statistically significant effects. This indicates that their model
lacks explanatory power for deep cuts in social spending.
Title: Errata
Description:
There are errors in the data used in the analysis of Hicks and
Zorn's “Economic Globalization, the Macro Economy, and
Reversals of Welfare Expansion in Affluent Democracies,
1978–94,” which appeared in the Summer 2005 issue of
International Organization (Vol.
59, 631–62).
New,
corrected data are now included in the data appendix for the article
available at 〈http://www.
sociology.
emory.
edu/ahicks/IO.
html〉
Accompanying the data appendix is a second appendix of text and tables
that includes an errata report, new analyses, and revised
findings.
New analyses do not indicate that pressures from unemployment,
societal aging, and globalization stressed in Hicks and Zorn (2005) drive
retrenchment.
Rather they indicate that strong aggregate economic
performance—affluence, economic growth, and low de-industrialization
in particular—and institutional centralization of political power
inhibit retrenchment, while the reverse fosters it.
This at least is the
case for the two least restrictive of Hicks and Zorn's three measures
of retrenchment.
For outcome measures that do not identify a retrenchment
unless there is, at least, a 6 percent cut in social spending (a threshold
condition of C = −0.
06 for the identification of a
“retrenchment” on the underlying spending variable
PCRS), Hicks and Zorn's hypothesized determinants do not
have statistically significant effects.
This indicates that their model
lacks explanatory power for deep cuts in social spending.
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