Probabilistic Analysis Using Theorem Proving

In this chapter, the authors first provide the overall methodology for the theorem proving formal probabilistic analysis followed by a brief introduction to the HOL4 theorem prover. The main focus of this book is to provide a comprehensive framework for formal probabilistic analysis as an alternative to less accurate techniques like simulation and paper-and-pencil methods and to other less scalable techniques like probabilistic model checking. For this purpose, the HOL4 theorem prover, which is a widely used higher-order-logic theorem prover, is used. The main reasons for this choice include the availability of foundational probabilistic analysis formalizations in HOL4 along with a very comprehensive support for real and set theoretic reasoning.