Simulation Study on Key Controlling Factors of Productivity of Multi-Branch Horizontal Wells for CBM: A Case Study of Zhina Coalfield, Guizhou, China

The multi-branch horizontal well for coalbed methane (CBM) is a core technical means to achieve efficient CBM extraction, and its productivity is jointly restricted by geological and engineering factors. To accurately grasp the main controlling factors of the productivity of multi-branch horizontal wells and provide a scientific basis for the optimized design of CBM development, this study takes Well W1 in the Wenjiaba Coal Mine of the Zhina Coalfield in Guizhou, China, as an engineering example and comprehensively uses three-dimensional geological modeling and reservoir numerical simulation methods to systematically explore the key influencing factors of the productivity of multi-branch horizontal wells for CBM. This study shows that coal seam thickness, permeability, gas content, and branch borehole size are positively correlated with the productivity of multi-branch horizontal wells. With the simulation time set to 1500 days, when the coal seam thickness increases from 1.5 m to 4 m, the cumulative gas production increases by 166%; when the permeability increases from 0.2 mD to 0.8 mD, the cumulative gas production increases by 123%; when the coal seam gas content increases from 8 m3/t to 18 m3/t, the cumulative gas production increases by 543%; and when the wellbore size increases from 114.3 mm to 177.8 mm, the cumulative gas production increases by 8%. However, the impact of branch angle and spacing on productivity exhibits complex nonlinear trends: when the branch angle is in the range of 15–30°, the cumulative gas production shows an upward trend during the simulation period, while in the range of 30–75°, the cumulative gas production decreases during the simulation period; the cumulative gas production with branch spacing of 100 m and 150 m is significantly higher than that with spacing of 50 m and 200 m. Quantitative analysis through sensitivity coefficients reveals that the coal seam gas content is the most important geological influencing factor, with a sensitivity coefficient of 2.5952; a branch angle of 30° and a branch spacing of 100 m are the optimal engineering conditions for improving productivity, with sensitivity coefficients of 0.2875 and 0.273, respectively. The research results clarify the action mechanism of geological and engineering factors on the productivity of multi-branch horizontal wells for CBM, providing a theoretical basis for the optimized deployment of well locations, wellbore structure, and drilling trajectory design of multi-branch horizontal wells for CBM in areas with similar geological conditions.