Risk assessment models for development of carpal tunnel syndrome: clinical, anthropometric, and neuromuscular ultrasound predictors

Abstract Background Carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is the most common entrapment neuropathy with multifactorial etiologies. We intended in this case–control study to identify, out of a comprehensive set of risk factors, the relatively important ones and develop a quantitative risk assessment model for this disorder. It was also legitimate to define the hazard of those factors in a dose-related manner and the acceptable safe limit especially for work-related stresses. Results Age and female predominance were comparable between the 60 patients (89 hands with electrophysiologically confirmed CTS) and 50 controls (100 hands). Occupation of the studied sample varied between housewives only, employed housewives, and manual workers with a distribution that differed significantly between patients and controls. Significantly higher body mass index (BMI) and mean wrist depth were found in patients than controls. Wrist ratio (clinically or sonographically) was significantly squarer in patients than controls. Overall workload and number of hours spent daily performing work with repeated hand movements or awkward hand position were significantly higher among patients than controls. ROC curves were constructed for wrist measurements and occupational stresses. Cut-off points of wrist ratio and internal carpal tunnel ratio (by ultrasound) to discriminate subjects with CTS were > 0.68 and ≤ 1.854, respectively. The best cut-off value for number of hours spent daily performing work with repeated hand movements was 3 h/ day. As for working with awkward hand position or cold exposure, cut-off value was 0.6 h/day for both. Two logistic regression models were conducted to investigate nonoccupational and occupational predictors of CTS. The independent predictors concluded from the first model were BMI, positive family history of CTS, wrist ratio, and decrease grip strength. As for the occupational model, predictors were tasks requiring awkward hand position and cold exposure. Conclusion Occupational risk assessment by clinical, anthropometric, and ultrasonographic measurement should be used in professions requiring repetitive or awkward hand movements, so that in overweight persons with square wrists appropriate workplace setup measures or assistive technology at work or home could be taken to prevent or decrease the impact of work hazards or help choose individuals with low risk for appropriate jobs.