Development of Synthetic Unit Hydrographs Using Spatial Proximity Regionalization for the Makiling Forest Reserve, Philippines

There is a dearth of streamflow data in the Philippines to generate hydrographs needed for flood forecasting and water resources assessment. A method of generating and calibrating synthetic hydrographs using model simulations and spatial proximity regionalization is presented. Synthetic unit hydrographs of four storm events in the gauged watershed of Makiling Forest Reserve were generated using Soil Conservation Service Unit Hydrograph, Clark Unit Hydrograph, and Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph methods. The generated synthetic hydrographs for each runoff modeling technique were calibrated with the actual hydrographs of the watershed. Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph model results were the most acceptable based on the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, Index of Volumetric Fit, and Relative Error of Peak Flow. The weighted values of the calibrated watershed parameters computed using spatial proximity regionalization technique and the hyetographs derived from the Rainfall Intensity Duration Frequency Curve of the University of the Philippines Los Baños-National Agrometeorological Station were used to generate the synthetic unit hydrographs for three neighboring ungauged watersheds at 2-, 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-, 50, 100-year return periods. Total runoff volume, the magnitude of peak flows, and time to peak derived from the generated hydrographs can be used in watershed planning, water resources management, flood forecasting and the design of various water control structures.