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Implications of the Problem of Armed Banditry to National Security in Nigeria

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This study analysed the problem of armed banditry and its implications for Nigeria’s national security. Using a quantitative research design, the study utilised secondary data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), ACLED, and various humanitarian and security reports to achieve its desired objectives of analyzing the drivers of banditry and its impacts on national security in Nigeria. The research argued that human, economic, and state security, as well as the effectiveness of government interventions, are key to national security. Findings indicate that armed banditry is driven by a tripod of factors: socio-economic deprivation, environmental degradation, and the proliferation of ungoverned spaces, particularly in northern Nigeria. The study demonstrates that banditry has systematically eroded national stability, leading to the closure of over 11,500 schools, a 70% reduction in agricultural productivity in conflict-affected areas, and the internal displacement of more than 3.7 million persons as of late 2025. Applying Failed State and Human Security theories, the study concluded that sustainable national security requires a paradigm shift from purely kinetic responses to comprehensive non kinetic governance strategies. Recommendations include formalizing community-based security programs, reclaiming forest reserves which were being used as criminal hideouts, and implementing targeted social and economic interventions to dismantle the survivalist incentives that also drive recruitment into banditry. Until these profound steps are taken, armed banditry may continue to undermine national security in Nigeria.
Title: Implications of the Problem of Armed Banditry to National Security in Nigeria
Description:
This study analysed the problem of armed banditry and its implications for Nigeria’s national security.
Using a quantitative research design, the study utilised secondary data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), ACLED, and various humanitarian and security reports to achieve its desired objectives of analyzing the drivers of banditry and its impacts on national security in Nigeria.
The research argued that human, economic, and state security, as well as the effectiveness of government interventions, are key to national security.
Findings indicate that armed banditry is driven by a tripod of factors: socio-economic deprivation, environmental degradation, and the proliferation of ungoverned spaces, particularly in northern Nigeria.
The study demonstrates that banditry has systematically eroded national stability, leading to the closure of over 11,500 schools, a 70% reduction in agricultural productivity in conflict-affected areas, and the internal displacement of more than 3.
7 million persons as of late 2025.
Applying Failed State and Human Security theories, the study concluded that sustainable national security requires a paradigm shift from purely kinetic responses to comprehensive non kinetic governance strategies.
Recommendations include formalizing community-based security programs, reclaiming forest reserves which were being used as criminal hideouts, and implementing targeted social and economic interventions to dismantle the survivalist incentives that also drive recruitment into banditry.
Until these profound steps are taken, armed banditry may continue to undermine national security in Nigeria.

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