Energy efficiency forecast of the Krasnoyarsk region

Abstract The energy efficiency of the Russian economy lags far behind the developed countries of the world. Increasing energy efficiency and, above all, energy saving, is the source that can provide additional economic growth through organizational and technical measures. The object of research is the economy of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, the increase in energy efficiency of which is of particular relevance due to its high energy intensity. The purpose of the study is to carry out an energy-economic analysis of the Krasnoyarsk Territory and to fulfill the forecast of the growth of the energy efficiency of the economy. The methodical approach developed by the authors is based on balance and statistical methods. In the course of the study, retrospective fuel and energy balances (FEB) of the Krasnoyarsk Territory (for the period 2005-2017) were developed, energy efficiency indicators were calculated and a regression equation was compiled for the forecast of the energy intensity of the gross regional product (GRP). The forecast for the development of the economy and the fuel and energy complex (FEC) of the Krasnoyarsk Territory has been made, the forecast TEBs have been developed (for the period up to 2050), the energy intensity of the regional GRP has been calculated for the long term, and measures have been proposed to increase energy efficiency.