A Hazard Assessment Method for Potential Earthquake‐Induced Landslides – A Case Study in Huaxian County, Shaanxi Province

AbstractThe hazard assessment of potential earthquake‐induced landslides is an important aspect of the study of earthquake‐induced landslides. In this study, we assessed the hazard of potential earthquake‐induced landslides in Huaxian County with a new hazard assessment method. This method is based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and the Newmark cumulative displacement assessment model. The model considers a comprehensive suite of information, including the seismic activities and engineering geological conditions in the study area, and simulates the uncertainty of the intensity parameters of the engineering geological rock groups using the Monte Carlo method. Unlike previous assessment studies on ground motions with a given exceedance probability level, the hazard of earthquake‐induced landslides obtained by the method presented in this study allows for the possibility of earthquake‐induced landslides in different parts of the study area in the future. The assessment of the hazard of earthquake‐induced landslides in this study showed good agreement with the historical distribution of earthquake‐induced landslides. This indicates that the assessment properly reflects the macroscopic rules for the development of earthquake‐induced landslides in the study area, and can provide a reference framework for the management of the risk of earthquake‐induced landslides and land planning.