Water Level Fluctuation Rather than Eutrophication Induced the Extinction of Submerged Plants in Guizhou’s Caohai Lake: Implications for Lake Management

The intensifying global decline in submerged aquatic lake plants is commonly attributed to lake eutrophication, while other drivers such as water levels are seldom considered. This study focused on the sudden extinction of the submerged plants in Caohai Lake, Guizhou, and employed long-term data and a whole-lake water level manipulation experiment to explore the impacts of nutrients and water level changes on the decline in submerged plants. The results indicated that over the past 40 years, the total nitrogen and ammonia nitrogen in the water did not change significantly, while the total phosphorus showed a significant decreasing trend. In recent years, however, the water level rose. The biomass of submerged plants continuously increased until a sudden large-scale extinction occurred in 2021; chlorophyll a also significantly increased. It is speculated that the large-scale extinction of the submerged plants was caused by water level fluctuations rather than eutrophication. After the restoration of the natural hydrological regime of low water levels in winter and spring and high levels in summer and autumn, the submerged plants gradually recovered, with the biomass increasing to 922.6 g/m2 in 2023. The structural equation modeling indicated that the water depth and bottom light availability were the main drivers for the changes in the submerged plants. However, in lake protection and management, more attention is often paid to controlling nutrients, while other influencing factors are neglected. These findings confirm the importance of water levels in the decline in and restoration of submerged plants in shallow lakes, suggesting a focus on water level management in lake protection and aquatic vegetation restoration.