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Radar Data Assimination in WRF Model to Forecast Heavy Rainfall at Ho Chi Minh City

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Abstract: This article using high resolution WRF model simulation on a heavy rainfall in summer at Hochiminh city by using radar data to assimilation initial conditions with 3DVAR method, the WRF3Dvar running simulation with two modes: cold start and warm start combine with three cases: only Reflectivity of radar; Reflectivity and Doppler radar radial wind observations; Reflectivity, Doppler radar radial wind, and GTS data. The background error used was CV7 created from 6 months forecast in South Vietnam. Radar data before assimilation was quality control and thinned to remove noise and create the best observation. 24 station rainfall in South Vietnam using to an evaluation of WRF model simulation. Results show assimilation only reflectivity will affect to variable qcloud, qvapor and qrain on the initial condition of model and assimilation only Doppler radar radial wind improve wind. Compare each case show warm start simulation precipitation better than the cold start, assimilation both Doppler radar radial wind observations, the reflectivity of radar and GTS better than another case. Key words: WRFDA,RADAR
Title: Radar Data Assimination in WRF Model to Forecast Heavy Rainfall at Ho Chi Minh City
Description:
Abstract: This article using high resolution WRF model simulation on a heavy rainfall in summer at Hochiminh city by using radar data to assimilation initial conditions with 3DVAR method, the WRF3Dvar running simulation with two modes: cold start and warm start combine with three cases: only Reflectivity of radar; Reflectivity and Doppler radar radial wind observations; Reflectivity, Doppler radar radial wind, and GTS data.
The background error used was CV7 created from 6 months forecast in South Vietnam.
Radar data before assimilation was quality control and thinned to remove noise and create the best observation.
24 station rainfall in South Vietnam using to an evaluation of WRF model simulation.
Results show assimilation only reflectivity will affect to variable qcloud, qvapor and qrain on the initial condition of model and assimilation only Doppler radar radial wind improve wind.
Compare each case show warm start simulation precipitation better than the cold start, assimilation both Doppler radar radial wind observations, the reflectivity of radar and GTS better than another case.
Key words: WRFDA,RADAR.

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