Commodities in International and Emerging Markets

This chapter seeks to elucidate the relations of U.S.-listed global commodity futures, the business cycle, and stocks and bonds of emerging markets. It shows that global investors poised to benefit from investing in emerging market securities can concurrently learn from and better understand the dynamic intermarket relations when establishing such trading strategies. Investment in emerging markets can enhance the performance and sturdiness of an equity or bond portfolio strategy. Evidence lends support to the conjecture that a subtle contemporaneous and occasionally trailing effect exerted by the movement of global commodities on the business cycle exists. Global commodities also affect equity and bond market dynamics. The evidence also reveals differences in terms of economic significance and magnitude among selected emerging nations and across various commodities.