Lung ultrasound for the diagnosis and monitoring of pneumonia in a tuberculosis-endemic setting: a prospective study

Lung ultrasound (LUS) has proven high diagnostic accuracy for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in developed countries. However, its diagnostic performance in resource-limited settings with high pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) incidence is less established. Additionally, the role of LUS in monitoring CAP progression remains underexplored. Objectives To validate the diagnostic performance, monitoring and prognostic utility of LUS for CAP in a high pulmonary TB incidence setting. Design Prospective single-centre cohort study. Setting Pulmonary department of a tertiary hospital in Vietnam. Participants A total of 158 patients suspected of having CAP were enrolled, with 136 (mean age 62 years, 72.8% male) included in the final analysis. Interventions Patients underwent LUS and chest X-ray (CXR) within 24 hours of admission, with a follow-up LUS on days 5–8. Primary and secondary outcome measures The primary outcome was the diagnostic accuracy of LUS and CXR compared with discharge diagnosis. Secondary outcomes included the accuracy compared with CT scan results, changes in LUS parameters—consolidation size, number and Lung Ultrasound Score (LUSS)—and their association with in-hospital mortality. Results LUS demonstrated higher sensitivity than CXR (96.0% (95% CI 90.0% to 99.0%) vs 82.8% (95% CI 73.9% to 89.7%)). LUS specificity was 64.9% (95% CI 47.5% to 80.0%), compared with 54.1% (95% CI 36.9% to 70.5%) for CXR. The moderate specificity for LUS was due to sonographic-similar conditions, notably TB in 5.1% of patients. Consolidation size and numbers showed marginal resolution, while LUSS showed more pronounced decreases over time. The baseline LUSS showed limited discriminative ability for predicting mortality (area under the curve, AUC 0.65, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.75), while follow-up LUSS and changes in LUSS (ΔLUSS) demonstrated higher levels of discrimination (AUC 0.81 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.89) and 0.89 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.95), respectively). For each one-point increase in ΔLUSS, the odds of in-hospital mortality went up by 70% (p=0.002). An improved LUSS effectively ruled out mortality (negative predictive value 97.4%). Conclusion Although LUS is highly sensitive for diagnosing CAP, its specificity in TB-endemic regions warrants further caution. Serial LUS assessments, particularly monitoring LUSS changes, are valuable for tracking disease progression and prognostication, with increasing LUSS indicating potential clinical deterioration.