Javascript must be enabled to continue!
Coordinated Planetary Defence in action: astrometric follow-up of asteroid 2024 YR4
View through CrossRef
Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on 27 December 2024 by the Chilean station of the ATLAS survey, as a fast-moving magnitude 16.5 object. In less than 24 hours, prediscovery data and immediate follow-up from the Catalina Sky Survey, as well as additional follow-up from other stations, allowed for its designation by the MPC, followed by an initial assessment of its impact threat, which proved non-negligible for a possible impact in December 2032.Regular follow-up continued over the following days, while the object receded from Earth, becoming fainter and slower. During these initial phases, the brightness of the object made it an easy target for small apertures, but at the same time its fast angular motion across the sky introduced additional challenges due to trailing and/or timing precision.By early January the object had been observed by many follow-up facilities, not only for astrometry, but also for physical characterization purposes. These physical characterization datasets, typically consisting of multiple high SNR images from moderately large telescopes, were also made available by the observers for astrometric purposes, and allowed for the extraction of high-precision astrometry, with accurately determined astrometric uncertainties. When incorporated into the orbit determination process, the data significantly improved the orbital accuracy, leading to the noticeable increase in impact probability that brought 2024 YR4 to the attention of the entire world.Once the object had become sufficiently prominent, even larger apertures came into play. By the end of January, the asteroid had crossed into magnitude 22 territory, where most amateur follow-up stations cannot provide adequate follow-up. From then on, increasingly larger professional facilities became the dominant astrometric contributors: multiple 2-meter-class telescopes provided excellent data until early February 2025, followed by larger facilities.Once 10-meter-class telescopes became necessary, the important coordination role of IAWN ensured that active observers with access to these facilities could exchange information about which instruments they were planning to use, and on the timeline of the planned observations. This allowed the community to obtain astrometry from multiple facilities, ensuring resilience to possible station-specific biases, while at the same time optimizing the use of valuable telescope resources. Fortunately, late February observations by some of these large telescopes, including ESO’s VLT, resulted in an orbital improvement sufficient to completely exclude the possibility of an impact with Earth in 2032.A successful proposal to JWST, submitted earlier on by a broad collaboration of astronomers, nevertheless gave the community the opportunity to test the capabilities of the telescope for planetary defense purposes. Observations with both the near-infrared NIRCam and the mid-infrared MIRI instruments were collected in March 2025, and provided a further extension of the astrometric coverage. One additional set of images, pushing the limits of how faint JWST can observe, is still scheduled for May 2025 at the time of this writing: if successful, it will prove the value of JWST as a follow-up asset for very faint asteroids, uniquely capable of detecting threatening asteroids that are otherwise too faint for ground-based telescopes.As of 2025, a non-negligible chance of impact with the Moon in 2032 remains: although no longer a planetary defense threat, 2024 YR4 is still a high priority scientific target, and will likely remain under scrutiny at least until the next observational opportunity in 2028.The case of 2024 YR4 represented a unique opportunity for the community of NEO observers to test their technical and collaborative capabilities in a high-profile situation. The results were overall extremely successful, from an astrometric and dynamical perspective: the object was effectively followed up, ensuring near-constant coverage with limited waste of observational resources.In this talk, we will present the results of this international effort, with a particular focus on the lessons learned while dealing with the specific challenges posed by this target, and how the community can be ready for a future high-profile situation like 2024 YR4.
Title: Coordinated Planetary Defence in action: astrometric follow-up of asteroid 2024 YR4
Description:
Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on 27 December 2024 by the Chilean station of the ATLAS survey, as a fast-moving magnitude 16.
5 object.
In less than 24 hours, prediscovery data and immediate follow-up from the Catalina Sky Survey, as well as additional follow-up from other stations, allowed for its designation by the MPC, followed by an initial assessment of its impact threat, which proved non-negligible for a possible impact in December 2032.
Regular follow-up continued over the following days, while the object receded from Earth, becoming fainter and slower.
During these initial phases, the brightness of the object made it an easy target for small apertures, but at the same time its fast angular motion across the sky introduced additional challenges due to trailing and/or timing precision.
By early January the object had been observed by many follow-up facilities, not only for astrometry, but also for physical characterization purposes.
These physical characterization datasets, typically consisting of multiple high SNR images from moderately large telescopes, were also made available by the observers for astrometric purposes, and allowed for the extraction of high-precision astrometry, with accurately determined astrometric uncertainties.
When incorporated into the orbit determination process, the data significantly improved the orbital accuracy, leading to the noticeable increase in impact probability that brought 2024 YR4 to the attention of the entire world.
Once the object had become sufficiently prominent, even larger apertures came into play.
By the end of January, the asteroid had crossed into magnitude 22 territory, where most amateur follow-up stations cannot provide adequate follow-up.
From then on, increasingly larger professional facilities became the dominant astrometric contributors: multiple 2-meter-class telescopes provided excellent data until early February 2025, followed by larger facilities.
Once 10-meter-class telescopes became necessary, the important coordination role of IAWN ensured that active observers with access to these facilities could exchange information about which instruments they were planning to use, and on the timeline of the planned observations.
This allowed the community to obtain astrometry from multiple facilities, ensuring resilience to possible station-specific biases, while at the same time optimizing the use of valuable telescope resources.
Fortunately, late February observations by some of these large telescopes, including ESO’s VLT, resulted in an orbital improvement sufficient to completely exclude the possibility of an impact with Earth in 2032.
A successful proposal to JWST, submitted earlier on by a broad collaboration of astronomers, nevertheless gave the community the opportunity to test the capabilities of the telescope for planetary defense purposes.
Observations with both the near-infrared NIRCam and the mid-infrared MIRI instruments were collected in March 2025, and provided a further extension of the astrometric coverage.
One additional set of images, pushing the limits of how faint JWST can observe, is still scheduled for May 2025 at the time of this writing: if successful, it will prove the value of JWST as a follow-up asset for very faint asteroids, uniquely capable of detecting threatening asteroids that are otherwise too faint for ground-based telescopes.
As of 2025, a non-negligible chance of impact with the Moon in 2032 remains: although no longer a planetary defense threat, 2024 YR4 is still a high priority scientific target, and will likely remain under scrutiny at least until the next observational opportunity in 2028.
The case of 2024 YR4 represented a unique opportunity for the community of NEO observers to test their technical and collaborative capabilities in a high-profile situation.
The results were overall extremely successful, from an astrometric and dynamical perspective: the object was effectively followed up, ensuring near-constant coverage with limited waste of observational resources.
In this talk, we will present the results of this international effort, with a particular focus on the lessons learned while dealing with the specific challenges posed by this target, and how the community can be ready for a future high-profile situation like 2024 YR4.
Related Results
Keyhole-Based Site Selection for Kinetic Impact Deflection of Near-Earth Asteroids
Keyhole-Based Site Selection for Kinetic Impact Deflection of Near-Earth Asteroids
Given present-day asteroid discovery capabilities, near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) are routinely discovered. 3,123 NEAs were discovered in 2024 alone1. Furthermore, new telescopes such...
Optimal Kinetic-Impact Geometry for Asteroid Deflection
Optimal Kinetic-Impact Geometry for Asteroid Deflection
<p><strong>Introduction</strong></p>
<p>Kinetic impact is recognized as an e&#64256;ective and feasibl...
Teaching Planetary Defence by means of role-playing games
Teaching Planetary Defence by means of role-playing games
IntroductionThe effectiveness of game-based learning methods [1] in facilitating understanding of complex concepts, arousing the interest of students and encouraging memorization i...
Simplified access of asteroid spectral data and metadata using classy
Simplified access of asteroid spectral data and metadata using classy
Remote-sensing spectroscopy is the most efficient observational technique to characterise the surface composition of asteroids within a reasonable timeframe. While photometry allow...
Main Belt Asteroid Mass Estimation from High-Precision Astrometry
Main Belt Asteroid Mass Estimation from High-Precision Astrometry
The most massive asteroids in the main belt perturb the trajectories of planets and other asteroids. High-precision astrometric measurements of the positions of the perturbed aster...
The science return of the ESA Hera mission to the binary asteroid Didymos
The science return of the ESA Hera mission to the binary asteroid Didymos
The Hera mission has been approved for development and launch in the new ESA Space Safety Programme by the ESA Council at Ministerial Level, Space19+, in November 2019. He...
A Scorched Story: JWST Reveals Phaethon's Dehydrated Surface Composition and Thermal History
A Scorched Story: JWST Reveals Phaethon's Dehydrated Surface Composition and Thermal History
Asteroid (3200) Phaethon is a unique near-Earth asteroid with a perihelion of 0.14 AU. It experiences extreme temperatures exceeding 1000 °C during its close solar approaches. The ...
A new component of the tangential YORP caused by the roughness of the asteroid surface
A new component of the tangential YORP caused by the roughness of the asteroid surface
<p>Abstract</p>
<p>The tangential YORP effect (or TYORP) is a radiation pressure torque, which acts on small irregularities of the asteroi...

