TRENDS AND PREDICTION OF PANDEMIC COVID-19 SITUATION IN UTTAR PRADESH, INDIA

COVID-19 is a disease caused by coronavirus that was first identified in Wuhan, China and was declared pandemic. Uttar Pradesh is one of the largest Indian states which is highly populous. There were 81999 confirmed cases in India as on 15th May, 2020 of which 3902 from Uttar Pradesh. Data of confirmed cases, recoveries and death trolls were collected from Ministry of Health and Family welfare and other reliable website. There is 53.1% recovery rate in the COVID-19 cases in Uttar Pradesh. A good health infra-structure, planning, high immunity in population, adequate isolation/ quarantine facilities, confrontational testing has increased recovery rates. Institutes like UPUMS are providing Ayurvedic preparation Raj Nirwan Ras (RNR) and nutritious diet along with breathing exercises showing high recovery rates. This type of treatment model could be implemented in other hospitals for a good and faster recovery rate. The prediction of transmission rate in next 30 days in Uttar Pradesh is not feasible as the number of migrant workers influx, people attending religious congregation, citizens not following lock down properly, and rapid testing could increase the number of confirmed cases. KEYWORDS: Uttar Pradesh, COVID-19, Raj Nirwan Ras, Recovery rate