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Blocked from the Ballot Box: Structural Obstacles Depress Turnout, Exacerbate Ballot Rejections Across Racial Lines
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In our analysis of voter turnout and ballot rejections in battleground counties in the 2016, 2020, and 2024 general elections, we found evidence of what we refer to as electoral cumulative inequalities. For each of those years, majority-White precincts had significantly higher turnout than precincts of a majority group of color or that were racially plural, meaning having no majority race. While average turnout in majority-White precincts increased from 2016 to 2024 (peaking in 2020), average turnout in majority-Black and -Hispanic precincts decreased from 2016 to 2024. Racially plural precincts and those with higher Black, Hispanic, and Native populations were more likely to have higher rates of ballot rejections than majority-White precincts in all three election years.
Title: Blocked from the Ballot Box: Structural Obstacles Depress Turnout, Exacerbate Ballot Rejections Across Racial Lines
Description:
In our analysis of voter turnout and ballot rejections in battleground counties in the 2016, 2020, and 2024 general elections, we found evidence of what we refer to as electoral cumulative inequalities.
For each of those years, majority-White precincts had significantly higher turnout than precincts of a majority group of color or that were racially plural, meaning having no majority race.
While average turnout in majority-White precincts increased from 2016 to 2024 (peaking in 2020), average turnout in majority-Black and -Hispanic precincts decreased from 2016 to 2024.
Racially plural precincts and those with higher Black, Hispanic, and Native populations were more likely to have higher rates of ballot rejections than majority-White precincts in all three election years.
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