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Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Emergency Admission for Stroke Patients: Time Series Study in Japan
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Abstract
BackgroundHospitalization rates have reportedly reduced on account of measures such as the declaration of a COVID-19-related state of emergency. Appropriate treatment of stroke immediately after its onset contributes to improved survival, and delay in hospitalisation after onset affect stroke severity and mortality. This study aimed to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency hospitalisation of stroke patients in Japan and the associated changes in stroke severity and mortality. MethodsThis was an observational study that used nationwide administrative data. The participants were selected from the data of hospitalised patients diagnosed with stroke. We cross-sectionally observed the background factors of patients during April and May 2020, when COVID-19-related state of emergency was declared, and the same period in 2019. We also modelled monthly trends in the numbers of emergency stroke admissions, of stroke admissions at each level of Japan Coma Scale (JCS), and of deaths within 24 h using interrupted time series regression (ITS). ResultsThere was no difference between the pre- and the COVID-19 pandemic periods in the pre-hospital baseline characteristics of patients. No significant change was seen through ITS in the number of emergency stroke admissions between the COVID-19 and the pre-COVID-19 pandemic periods (risk ratio [RR]=0.96, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.90–1.02, P=0.159). There was a significant difference in the JCS3 of impaired consciousness in emergency stroke patients, which was more severe during the COVID-19 pandemic than pre-COVID-19 pandemic (RR=1.16, 95%CI: 1.04–1.28, P=0.005). There was no change in the mortality rate of patients with COVID-19 compared to those without COVID-19, but there were significantly more deaths within 24 h of admission. (No deaths within 24 h: RR=0.97, 95%CI: 0.88–1.06, P=0.446; deaths within 24 h: RR=2.80, 95%CI: 2.40–3.27, P<0.001). ConclusionsOVID-19 infection prevalence increased the number of deaths and severity of illness within 24 h of hospitalisation in Japan. However, there was no association between the number of hospital admissions or deaths with baseline characteristics. These results suggest no problems in accepting hospitalised patients during the COVID-19 pandemic, but the delay in visiting the hospital after disease onset may have increased stroke severity.
Title: Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Emergency Admission for Stroke Patients: Time Series Study in Japan
Description:
Abstract
BackgroundHospitalization rates have reportedly reduced on account of measures such as the declaration of a COVID-19-related state of emergency.
Appropriate treatment of stroke immediately after its onset contributes to improved survival, and delay in hospitalisation after onset affect stroke severity and mortality.
This study aimed to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency hospitalisation of stroke patients in Japan and the associated changes in stroke severity and mortality.
MethodsThis was an observational study that used nationwide administrative data.
The participants were selected from the data of hospitalised patients diagnosed with stroke.
We cross-sectionally observed the background factors of patients during April and May 2020, when COVID-19-related state of emergency was declared, and the same period in 2019.
We also modelled monthly trends in the numbers of emergency stroke admissions, of stroke admissions at each level of Japan Coma Scale (JCS), and of deaths within 24 h using interrupted time series regression (ITS).
ResultsThere was no difference between the pre- and the COVID-19 pandemic periods in the pre-hospital baseline characteristics of patients.
No significant change was seen through ITS in the number of emergency stroke admissions between the COVID-19 and the pre-COVID-19 pandemic periods (risk ratio [RR]=0.
96, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.
90–1.
02, P=0.
159).
There was a significant difference in the JCS3 of impaired consciousness in emergency stroke patients, which was more severe during the COVID-19 pandemic than pre-COVID-19 pandemic (RR=1.
16, 95%CI: 1.
04–1.
28, P=0.
005).
There was no change in the mortality rate of patients with COVID-19 compared to those without COVID-19, but there were significantly more deaths within 24 h of admission.
(No deaths within 24 h: RR=0.
97, 95%CI: 0.
88–1.
06, P=0.
446; deaths within 24 h: RR=2.
80, 95%CI: 2.
40–3.
27, P<0.
001).
ConclusionsOVID-19 infection prevalence increased the number of deaths and severity of illness within 24 h of hospitalisation in Japan.
However, there was no association between the number of hospital admissions or deaths with baseline characteristics.
These results suggest no problems in accepting hospitalised patients during the COVID-19 pandemic, but the delay in visiting the hospital after disease onset may have increased stroke severity.
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