The Association between Urine Elements and Fasting Glucose Levels in a Community-Based Elderly People in Beijing

Abstract Epidemiological studies have demonstrated that various kinds of urinary element concentrations were different between healthy, prediabetes, and diabetes patients. Meanwhile, many studies have explored the relationship between element concentration and fasting blood glucose (FBG), but the association between joint exposure to co-existing elements and FBG level has not been well understood. The study explored the associations of joint exposure to co-existing urinary elements with FBG level in a cross-sectional design. 275 retired elderly people were recruited from Beijing, China. The questionnaire survey was conducted, and biological samples were collected. The generalized linear model (GLM) and two-phase Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) model were used to perform in-depth association analysis between urinary elements and FBG. The GLM analysis showed that Zn, Sr, and Cd were significantly correlated with the FBG level, under control potential confounding factors. The BKMR analysis demonstrated 8 elements (Zn, Se, Fe, Cr, Ni, Cd, Mn, and Al) had a higher influence on FBG (Posterior inclusion probabilities >0.1). Further intensive analyses result of the BKMR model indicated that the overall estimated exposure of 8 elements was positively correlated with the FBG level and was statistically significant when all element concentrations were at their 65th percentile. Meanwhile, the BKMR analysis showed that Cd and Zn had a statistically significant association with FBG levels when other co-existing elements were controlled at different levels (25th, 50th or 75th percentile), respectively. The results of the GLM and BKMR model were inconsistent. The BKMR model could flexibly calculate the joint exposure to co-existing elements, evaluate the possible interaction effects and nonlinear correlations. The meaningful conclusions were found that it was difficult to get by traditional methods. This study will provide methodological reference and experimental evidence for the association between joint exposure to co-existing elements and FBG in elderly people.