Nutrient cycling in the Baltic Sea – results from a 30-year physical-biogeochemical reanalysis

Abstract. The long-term oxygen and nutrient cycles in the Baltic Sea are reconstructed using the Swedish Coastal and Ocean Biogeochemical model (SCOBI) coupled to the Rossby Centre Ocean model (RCO). Two simulations covering the period 1970–1999 are carried out with and without data assimilation, respectively. Here, the "weakly coupled" scheme with the Ensemble Optimal Interpolation (EnOI) method is adopted to assimilate the observed profiles in the reanalysis system. The simulation results show considerable improvements in both oxygen and nutrient concentrations in the reanalysis relative to the free run. Further, the results suggest that the assimilation of biogeochemical observations has a significant effect on the simulation of the oxygen dependent dynamics of biogeochemical cycles. From the reanalysis, nutrient transports between subbasins, between the coastal zone and the open sea, and across latitudinal and longitudinal cross sections, are calculated. Further, bottom areas of nutrient import or export are examined. Our results emphasize the important role of the Baltic proper for the entire Baltic Sea, with large net exports of nutrients into the surrounding subbasins (except the phosphorus transport into the Gulf of Riga and the nitrogen transports into the Gulf of Riga and Danish Straits). In agreement with previous studies, we found that the Bothnian Sea imports large amounts of phosphorus from the Baltic proper that are buried in this subbasin. For the calculation of subbasin budgets, it is crucial where the lateral borders of the subbasins are located, because net transports may change sign with the location of the border. Although the overall transport patterns resemble the results of previous studies, our calculated estimates differ in detail considerably.