Distribution areas and monthly dynamic distribution changes of three Aedes species in China: Aedes aegypti, Aedes albopictus and Aedes vexans

Abstract Background Mosquitoes play an absolute role in the spread of epidemic arbovirus diseases. Worldwide, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus are the main vectors responsible for the spread of these mosquito-borne diseases. Aedes vexans, a mosquito species native to China, also carries mosquito-borne viruses, such as dengue fever virus and Japanese encephalitis virus, but research on this mosquito has been inadequate. Mapping the potential distribution range of and monthly change in the distribution of these three Aedes species is of particular importance for mosquito surveillance, eradication and disease control. Methods Monitoring data were collected for the three Aedes species in China. Long-term temperature and precipitation data (2001–2021) and land cover data were used to represent various climate and environmental conditions. An ecological niche model was developed using a maximum entropy modeling method to predict the current optimum habitat areas for the three Aedes species and to obtain important variables influencing their monthly distribution. Results The distribution model for the three Aedes species performed well, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.991 for Ae. aegypti, 0.928 for Ae. albopictus and 0.940 for Ae. vexans. Analysis of the distribution change and mapping of the optimum habitat range for each Aedes species for each month demonstrated that temperature, precipitation and construction land were important factors influencing the distribution of these three Aedes species. Conclusions In China, Aedes aegypti is mainly concentrated in a few tropical regions and along the Yunnan border; Aedes albopictus is widely distributed throughout most of the country, except for the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China; and Aedes vexans is mainly found in the northern regions. Our results provide a basis for the timing and location of surveillance efforts for high-priority mosquitoes. Graphical abstract