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Contemporary trends and survival outcomes in young-onset vs. average-onset metastatic colorectal cancer: A real-world comparison.
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e15614
Background:
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide. It is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, typically affecting individuals over 50 years (average-onset CRC, AO-CRC). However, the incidence of young-onset CRC (YO-CRC), diagnosed before age 50, has been rising and now accounts for 10-12% of CRC cases. It is also alarming that YO-CRC present with advanced stages and by 2030 the incidence of YO-CRC is projected to increase by 90%. This study aims to evaluate sociodemographic characteristics and survival differences between YO-CRC and AO-CRC with metastasis.
Methods:
We conducted a multi-center retrospective cohort study using data from the TriNetX network, which aggregates de-identified electronic health records from millions of patients across multiple healthcare organizations. Patients diagnosed with primary metastatic CRC were identified using ICD-10-CM codes. Cohorts were stratified into YO-CRC (ages 18-49) and AO-CRC (ages 50-100). Patients with secondary CRC and stage 0-III disease were excluded. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed for gender, race/ethnicity, comorbidities, and CRC risk factors. The primary outcome was 5-year survival. Descriptive statistics summarized baseline characteristics and multivariate regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis assessed survival outcomes. Statistical significance was defined as p < 0.05.
Results:
At baseline, the YO-CRC cohort included 978 patients and the AO-CRC cohort included 13,475 patients. YO-CRC had a median age of 35.4 ± 6.93 years compared to 63.7 ± 11.8 years in AO-CRC (p < 0.0001). A higher proportion of YO-CRC patients were female (51.7%, p < 0.0001), while AO-CRC was predominantly male (51.6%, p = 0.0003). The YO-CRC and AO-CRC cohorts were primarily non-Hispanic (51.9%, 49.2%) and White (47.7%, 50.1%). Propensity matching (1:1) included 971 matched pairs in each cohort. AO-CRC patients had a significantly higher 5-year mortality risk (RR 1.282, 95% CI: 1.151,1.427). Likewise, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed significantly better 5-year survival of 46.7% in YO-CRC patients and 33.7% in AO-CRC patients (log-rank test p < 0.0001). The median survival time was 4.35 years for YO-CRC and 2.67 years for AO-CRC independent of treatment, indicating a survival advantage in the younger cohort.
Conclusions:
Metastatic YO-CRC is associated with better survival outcomes compared to metastatic AO-CRC after adjusting for confounders, despite a more aggressive clinical disease profile in younger patients. This trend may be influenced by differential biological, molecular and clinical factors. Our findings emphasize the need to consider age-related differences in survival and investigate tailored treatment strategies for younger patients with CRC. It also highlights whether CRC screening guidelines should be further changed to optimize timely diagnosis.
American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)
Title: Contemporary trends and survival outcomes in young-onset vs. average-onset metastatic colorectal cancer: A real-world comparison.
Description:
e15614
Background:
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide.
It is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, typically affecting individuals over 50 years (average-onset CRC, AO-CRC).
However, the incidence of young-onset CRC (YO-CRC), diagnosed before age 50, has been rising and now accounts for 10-12% of CRC cases.
It is also alarming that YO-CRC present with advanced stages and by 2030 the incidence of YO-CRC is projected to increase by 90%.
This study aims to evaluate sociodemographic characteristics and survival differences between YO-CRC and AO-CRC with metastasis.
Methods:
We conducted a multi-center retrospective cohort study using data from the TriNetX network, which aggregates de-identified electronic health records from millions of patients across multiple healthcare organizations.
Patients diagnosed with primary metastatic CRC were identified using ICD-10-CM codes.
Cohorts were stratified into YO-CRC (ages 18-49) and AO-CRC (ages 50-100).
Patients with secondary CRC and stage 0-III disease were excluded.
Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed for gender, race/ethnicity, comorbidities, and CRC risk factors.
The primary outcome was 5-year survival.
Descriptive statistics summarized baseline characteristics and multivariate regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis assessed survival outcomes.
Statistical significance was defined as p < 0.
05.
Results:
At baseline, the YO-CRC cohort included 978 patients and the AO-CRC cohort included 13,475 patients.
YO-CRC had a median age of 35.
4 ± 6.
93 years compared to 63.
7 ± 11.
8 years in AO-CRC (p < 0.
0001).
A higher proportion of YO-CRC patients were female (51.
7%, p < 0.
0001), while AO-CRC was predominantly male (51.
6%, p = 0.
0003).
The YO-CRC and AO-CRC cohorts were primarily non-Hispanic (51.
9%, 49.
2%) and White (47.
7%, 50.
1%).
Propensity matching (1:1) included 971 matched pairs in each cohort.
AO-CRC patients had a significantly higher 5-year mortality risk (RR 1.
282, 95% CI: 1.
151,1.
427).
Likewise, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed significantly better 5-year survival of 46.
7% in YO-CRC patients and 33.
7% in AO-CRC patients (log-rank test p < 0.
0001).
The median survival time was 4.
35 years for YO-CRC and 2.
67 years for AO-CRC independent of treatment, indicating a survival advantage in the younger cohort.
Conclusions:
Metastatic YO-CRC is associated with better survival outcomes compared to metastatic AO-CRC after adjusting for confounders, despite a more aggressive clinical disease profile in younger patients.
This trend may be influenced by differential biological, molecular and clinical factors.
Our findings emphasize the need to consider age-related differences in survival and investigate tailored treatment strategies for younger patients with CRC.
It also highlights whether CRC screening guidelines should be further changed to optimize timely diagnosis.
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