Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM): diagnosis using biochemical parameters and anthropometric measurements during the first trimester in the Indian population

Abstract Objectives The objective of the study was to use anthropometric measurements (age, BMI, and subcutaneous fat) in conjunction with biochemical parameters (sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), fasting glucose, serum insulin, and total cholesterol) to predict the probability of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in the first trimester. Methods The study enrolled 48 pregnant women with GDM and 64 high-risk pregnant women without GDM. During the first-trimester examination, maternal blood samples were collected to measure SHBG, fasting blood glucose, serum insulin, and total cholesterol levels. Regression model analysis was used to examine the variables that showed statistically significant differences between the groups and were independent predictors of GDM. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to determine the risk of developing GDM based on cut-off values. Results The levels of SHBG, HOMA-IR, serum insulin, fasting glucose, and total cholesterol were identified as significant independent markers for predicting GDM. Meanwhile, age, body mass index, and subcutaneous fat values were found to be non-independent predictors of GDM. The areas under the ROC curve were calculated to determine the predictive accuracy of total cholesterol, HOMA-IR, SHBG, and subcutaneous fat for developing into GDM, and were 0.869, 0.977, 0.868, and 0.822 respectively. The sensitivities for a false positive rate of 5 % for predicting GDM were 68.7 , 91.67, 91.7, and 97.9 % for total cholesterol, HOMA-IR, SHBG, and subcutaneous fat, respectively. Conclusions The independent predictors for the subsequent development of GDM in high-risk pregnancies are HOMA-IR, SHBG, Total cholesterol, and subcutaneous fat (SC) levels. These parameters can be used to create a regression model to predict the occurrence of GDM.