Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Factors of Soil Salinization: A Case Study of the Yutian Oasis, Xinjiang, China

Soil salinization is a critical global environmental issue, exacerbated by climatic and anthropogenic factors, and posing significant threats to agricultural productivity and ecological stability in arid regions. Therefore, remote sensing-based dynamic monitoring of soil salinization is crucial for timely assessment and effective mitigation strategies. This study used Landsat imagery from 2001 to 2021 to evaluate the potential of support vector machine (SVM) and classification and regression tree (CART) models for monitoring soil salinization, enabling the spatiotemporal mapping of soil salinity in the Yutian Oasis. In addition, the land use transfer matrix and spatial overlay analysis were employed to comprehensively analyze the spatiotemporal trends of soil salinization. The geographical detector (Geo Detector) tool was used to explore the driving factors of the spatiotemporal evolution of salinization. The results indicated that the CART model achieved 5.3% higher classification accuracy than the SVM, effectively mapping the distribution of soil salinization and showing a 26.76% decrease in salinized areas from 2001 to 2021. Improvements in secondary salinization and increased vegetation coverage were the primary contributors to this reduction. Geo Detector analysis highlighted vegetation (NDVI) as the dominant factor, and its interaction with soil moisture (NDWI) has a significant impact on the spatial and temporal distribution of soil salinity. This study provides a robust method for monitoring soil salinization, offering critical insights for effective salinization management and sustainable agricultural practices in arid regions.