Drivers of individual oak tree selection by acorn dispersing animals inferred from a genotyped seedling cohort

ABSTRACT Seed-dispersing animals can strongly influence plant reproductive success and resulting population structures. Few studies have disentangled different drivers of disperser foraging behavior in natural settings and their actual relevance for plant fitness. Here we adopt a novel approach to investigate the drivers of individual trees’ dispersal success in a mixed Pedunculate oak-Pyrenean oak ( Quercus robur and Q. pyrenaica ) forest stand. We genotyped a seedling cohort ( n = 825) upon emergence and performed Bayesian parentage analyses to infer the acorn dispersal success of each oak tree in the stand. We then modeled this estimate as a function of six tree characteristics. The absolute number of animal-dispersed seedlings was exclusively predicted by crop size and the proportion of dispersed seedlings by the number of fruiting oaks in the neighborhood. Neither the oak species nor tree height, acorn size or shape played any role. Our findings contrast with results from experimental studies and suggest that effective acorn dispersers, despite being scatter-hoarders, behaved much like avian dispersers of fleshy-fruited species when selecting trees to forage on. Their behavior should favor the dominance of large, prolific trees for the dynamics and genetic composition of naturally regenerating oak stands.