New Energy Logistics Vehicle Promotion: A Tripartite Evolutionary Game Perspective

In the severe context of global warming and the energy crisis, the low-carbon economy has become an inevitable trend in global development. This paper focuses on the logistics industry, a significant domain of carbon emissions, and regards the promotion of new energy logistics vehicles as a crucial breakthrough for the industry to achieve energy savings and emission reductions. From the perspective of an evolutionary game involving the government, logistics vehicle enterprises, and logistics enterprises, a practical and feasible strategy for promoting new energy logistics vehicles is proposed. Firstly, a tripartite evolutionary game model was developed under the dual-credit policy and auxiliary policies, and its strategy of asymptotic stability and Jacobian matrix analysis was conducted. Then, system dynamics (SD) was employed to simulate the model, aiming to explore the impact of key decision variables on the evolutionary outcomes. The results show that: (1) Appropriate auxiliary policy support can encourage logistics vehicle enterprises to produce new energy logistics vehicles and promote the transformation of the logistics industry to a low-carbon direction; (2) Through the optimization of the dual-credit policy and the enhancement of the value of points trading, logistics enterprises can be motivated to produce more new energy vehicles; (3) The promotion of cost reduction of new energy logistics vehicles and the enhancing of market competitiveness can improve the willingness of logistics enterprises to use new energy logistics vehicles; (4) The government should encourage logistics enterprises to use new energy logistics vehicles in multiple dimensions.